Bushfires caused by Arson and the Sun..NOT Global Warming – ConspiracyOz

ISSN: 1832-2743
Published: 11/2009

The Number of Fires and Who Lights them

The Australian Productivity Commission has calculated that between 2001–02 and 2006–07, the number bushfires in Australia varied from approximately 46,000 to 62,000 per year, with an average of nearly 54,000 fires per year (SGRSP 2008). This agrees quite closely with the average of nearly 52,000 fires per year calculated by the Australian Institute of Criminology (Bryant 2008) using data from fire agencies from 1995–06 to 2005–06. It is estimated that 50 percent of fires are either deliberately lit or suspicious in origin as shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1: Percentages of bushfires by cause averaged over fire agency and year

 Percentages of bushfires by cause averaged over fire agency and year

Source: Bryant 2008

In Australia, it is difficult to get a consolidated understanding of the profile of bushfire arsonists and their motivations, mainly because of the low numbers that are apprehended.

There is quite a rich international literature where numbers are higher which suggests a distinct profile, that is, white male, mid-20s, patchy employment record, often above average intelligence but poor academic achievement and poor social development (Willis 2004).

However, it is not clear whether this would translate to the Australian context. The results of studies that looked at levels of recidivism have been ambiguous (AIC 2007b).

Between 2001 and 2006, 56 percent (n=615/1,099) of convicted structural arsonists and 37 percent (n=49/133) of bushfire arsonists in New South Wales had a prior conviction for a previous offence which suggests that arsonists are not generally specialist offenders (AIC 2007a).

References

Here are all the links to the ‘Bushfires’ Articles mentioned on last weeks ConspiracyOz Podcast – Mick Raven

Black Saturday bushfires – Wikipedia

Black Saturday Bushfire caused by Faulty Electrical Power pole NOT Global Warming- ConspiracyOz

Boys, 11 and 14, charged with starting fires | Daily Telegraph

Teenager charged following fire in Carrum Downs | The Courier

1967 Tasmanian fires – Wikipedia

1967 Tasmanian fires

Although this fire was by far the worst in loss of life and property in Tasmanian history, the meteorological conditions are common. McArthur’s report on the fire notes that “very similar conditions have occurred on three or four occasions during the past 70 years.” 1967 Tasmanian fires – Wikipedia

Territory Police investigating whether Uluru National Park bushfire was intentionally lit – ABC News

Arson suspected in Tasmanian bushfires – ABC News

Tasmania Police investigate second deliberately lit bushfire at Rocherlea in 24 hours | The Examiner

Tasmanian bushfires: Fire service will ‘investigate and prosecute’ if fires deliberately lit – ABC News

Arson and Deliberately Lit Fires Final Report No1

Bushfire Ready newsletter edition 8

 

Posted on February 22, 2019, in ConspiracyOz Posts. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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